Global Raisin Update

August 19, 2018

Anderson Exports is a Bulk Ingredients Sourcing Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California, Brazil and the rest of the world. Our newsletter delivers actionable market intelligence to inform our clients' purchasing decisions.

Raisins

California raisins are about 3 weeks from harvest. The 2018 California raisin crop is healthy and developing well so far. Bunch counts recovered compared to the prior crop. The Raisin Bargaining Association (RBA) reported 33 bunches per vine for the current crop, up 22% from last year but still below the 10-year average of 37 bunches per vine. Weather, as we saw last year with the two unexpected rains during the harvest, is of course a key factor for a successful raisin harvest and will be especially in focus in the coming weeks.

Prices for bulk California raisins will likely remain elevated even if the new crop is normal. The current raisin crop was the smallest since 1982 according to the RBA. Due to the record small crop this year, the carry-in for 2018 supply is estimated to be ~70 - 75K MT, or ~48% lower than the 5-year average. Demand for California raisins has built-up considerably in recent months as monthly shipment numbers lag severely behind recent years. Shipments of California Natural Seedless raisins were down by 41% in July compared to the prior year based on the latest report from the Raisin Administrative Committee (RAC). 

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California raisin suppliers are therefore eager to renew supply continuity for both domestic and international clients. Buyers are similarly looking forward to new crop, particularly for Select / Medium sizes of Thompson Seedless raisins which can be hard to come by at this point in the year. Midget / small sizes, which fall through the screens first compared to larger fruit, are available from the current crop at attractive levels.

After last year’s disappointing raisin crop in California, major importers turned to Turkey, Chile, and South Africa to cover supply in recent months. California processors even imported Chilean material to fulfill domestic customer needs. Chilean raisin exports to the United States increased by 54% from January - May of this year compared to last according to data from the USDA. While the swing is notable, Chile’s total raisin production of ~60K MT still lags the United States and Turkey by a substantial margin. For example, in a typical year, California ships ~20K MT of raisins per month so it would take only 3 months to ship Chile’s entire annual production volume. Nonetheless, quality from Chile this year has been excellent and we have loads available for prompt shipment from Chile for Thompson and Flame raisins. 

Turkey’s new crop for raisins is also just around the corner. With the Eid al-Adha holidays ongoing, the market in Turkey will be slow for the next week. Turkey’s Minister of Agriculture, Mr. Pakdemirli recently announced the new crop estimate for Turkey at 261K MT. The actual figures often differ substantially from the government’s estimates so we will have to wait and see. Turkish Sultana raisins and Thompson raisins will be first shipped to Spain, due to its close geographic proximity, then to Europe and other export markets. Though Turkey has continued to grapple with observing strict pesticide controls, overall, the quality of Turkey’s raisin processing facilities is improving. For Turkish raisins, we supply from BRC and ISO 22000 suppliers to deliver the highest quality Turkish sultana raisins to our customers.

Trump’s recent spat with Erdoğan is causing major problems and concerns for Turkey’s trading partners. We have seen large fluctuations in the value of the Turkish Lira, which will certainly affect the rates at which raisins are offered to Turkey’s foreign purchasers. Due to the general uncertainty around the Lira, we have seen many Turkish suppliers reluctant to offer large forward contracts.

Iranian sultana raisin exports outside of the Middle East will face major challenges in the coming year due to the U.S. sanctions. Trump intends to clamp down on businesses and banks doing business with Iran. European buyers of raisins from Iran will likely turn to Turkey, Afghanistan, Uzbekistan, the U.S., Chile and South Africa this year due to these trade and sanction issues.

We specialize in sourcing the highest quality sun-dried raisins from California, Turkey, Chile, and South Africa and we we welcome your inquiries for dried-on-the-vine (DOV) and tray-dried Thompson Seedless, Selma Petes, Flames, Goldens, and other varieties in Jumbo, Select, and Midget sizes. Currently, we also have Chilean and South African raisins for prompt shipment. 

Cranberries

Severe fruit shortages of sliced sweetened dried cranberries (SDCs) continued in recent weeks. Producers have no availability for prompt shipment. Lead-times to earliest shipment remain long and prices are high and have shown no weakness yet. The USDA decision on the 25% producer allotment (supply reduction) for the coming crop still remains unknown at this time. Given the substantial impact this decision will have on the industry and fruit availability, the tightness in pricing and supply may become even more problematic if the supply reduction is passed.

For buyers, the current situation is no doubt challenging. Prices have doubled over the last year and show no signs of relenting at this time. There is no longer a spot market for prompt shipment due to the shortages. The U.S. is also essentially the sole supplier of cranberries around the globe, besides a very small crop from Chile, so there are no actionable alternative supply origins for sourcing cranberries. Therefore, we urge our clients to discuss their cranberry requirements with us as early as possible in order to determine the right approach to covering forward needs for SDCs.

Walnut

The new walnut crop in California is looking good. Some walnut growers have been doing some cuttings in recent weeks and have reported that the color of the walnuts is better than at the same time last year, which is a positive sign. The Objective Walnut Estimate is set to be released in September by the California Agricultural Statistics Service (CASS) and should add further clarity on the size of the 2018 California walnut crop. Current estimates are in the 680 - 700K MT range. 

Export sales have been slow in recent weeks due to the tariffs. Currency volatility is also adding to buyer reluctancy to book forward contracts. The market may pick-up after the details of the Section 32 buys are released. This is the relief channel for the walnut industry on the trade war. We expect market activity to pick-up in the coming weeks.

The Walnut Acreage Report for California released in July 2018 showed 335,000 bearing acres for California, a new record which positions the industry well for a record crop. The 2017 bearing acreage is composed primarily of Chandler (47%) followed by Hartley (12%), Howard (11%), Tulare (11%), Serr (5%), Vina (5%), and others (10%). There are also approximately 65,000 non-bearing acres for the 2017 year, according to the USDA. Chandler represents the 59% of the non-bearing acreage. These trees will begin to produce in the coming years, adding to the bearing acreage and total production. 

California has the lightest and largest walnuts in the world. We supply in-shell and shelled walnuts for all major varieties including Chandler, Hartley, Howard, Tulare, Serr, Vina, and others.

Almonds

Foreign buyers continue to be cautious with forward contracts for the new crop. However, current-year almond shipments are still going strong through the typical transshipment routes into China via Vietnam, Hong Kong, etc. The July 2018 California almond shipment report showed July shipments at 143 mm lbs, down slightly from the prior year figure of 153.9 mm lbs. The lower committed shipments of 170 mm lbs, down 15.65% confirms the slow forward contracting environment. Global uncertainty on tariffs, foreign exchange volatility and a large crop may keep put a lid on pricing this year for some California almond varieties.

We anticipate almond prices to be steady. Cals are harder to come by at the moment. The Cal SSR crop is coming in a little short vs. last year. Growers and processors are expecting approx. 285 mm of SSR grade product this year. Supply is not keeping up with demand on SSRs so expecting firmer pricing there.

Pecans

The new California walnut crop quality looks good, although we still have another six weeks of summer weather to get through before we’re safe. In a hot year like this, well-irrigated orchards will perform particularly well. Georgia’s crop is looking especially strong with estimates in the 110 - 140 million lbs range. Estimates for the U.S. and Mexico pecan crops are in the 300 mm lbs and 330 mm range, respectively. 

Our earliest new crop shipments are for late September / early October. We supply Fancy Junior Mammoth Halves (FJMH), Fancy Pieces, and other sizes / types for all major U.S. pecan varieties.

Pistachios

Trump’s resumption of sanctions on Iran is positioning U.S. pistachio suppliers for big share gains. Iran is the only real rival to U.S. pistachios in terms of production volume followed by Turkey. The estimated carry-over to new crop is going to be smaller than in typical years which may drive firmer opening prices. As we approach the harvest season, focus will be on weather and trade tariffs. 

The U.S. pistachio crop is developing well. Expect new crop shipments in October and November. We supply all major grades and sizes of in-shell and kernel Pistachios from the U.S. and welcome your inquiries for new crop.

Figs

Turkish Figs have seen a recent rain while the product is in its most critical stage for harvesting. We have heard reports that up to 40% of figs will be either sour, open-mouthed, or cracked. We have seen this movie before this past year in California raisins. These types of late season rains during critical junctures in the process of harvesting creates major problems that stem from the damage these rains can do. This past year in California, as we have talked about extensively, has shown the monthly shipments to be down some 40+ percent in July vs. this time last year.

This is a big deal for Turkish Figs as it will bring two-fold results to this large export market; 1) We will likely see a large decrease in total available tonnage in the coming year (2018 / 2019) vs last year due to mold, sand, and grit concerns and 2) The price of Turkish Figs will thus begin to climb beginning now through this coming year. We saw the same in California raisins last year, with many buyers holding off the market during the early fall harvest season, when prices were at their lowest they would be all year. This has caused a backlog of orders with lower quality and higher prices. We ultimately recommend that anyone interested in booking their Turkish Fig needs for this season books this business sooner rather than later to avoid the inevitable rises in price and lower quality to be expected from Turkey after the recent rains. 

Apricots

The Turkish dried apricot harvest is nearing an end. The quality of the crop is good. The average sizes are in the 3 - 4 range. The estimated carry-in to the 2018 crop is about 30K MT. Organic and non-organic sulfured and unsulfured Turkish apricots are available for export markets in size 3, 4, and 5. 

Brazil Sugar

Sugar prices remained low in recent weeks as world market surpluses continued. Large production increases from India and Thailand added to the excess supply situation. After production quotas expired in October 2017, the E.U. sugar industry is facing an extremely challenging export environment given the low price environment. Recent droughts in the E.U. are weighing on production estimates as well. 

We supply Brazil origin ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the vessel on a spot (MOQ: 12,500 MT) or forward contract basis including long-term contracts of 300,000 MT / month x 12 months. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC confirmed by global top 50 bank.
We supply German Beet Sugar (MOQ: 1 FCL) as well as Thai Sugar (MOQ: 10 FCLs)

Brazil Soy

Brazil’s exports of soybeans are expected to hit an all-time record this year. The 25% Chinese tariff on U.S. soybeans is set to improve Brazil’s relative competitiveness compared to the U.S. In the first half of 2018, Brazil’s exports of soybeans to China increased to approximately 36 million metric tons, up about 6% from the prior year. In July alone, Brazilian soy exports to China rose 46% compared to July last year.

Weak sugar prices are also incentivizing Brazilian farmers to switch from sugar to soy and other crops. According to government data, Brazil’s soy plantings grew by 2 million hectares in two years while, over the same period, planted acreage for cane sugar declined by 400,000 hectares.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Soybeans from Brazil. MOQ: 12,500+ MT. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC confirmed by global top 50 bank.

Brazil Corn

Estimates for Brazil’s 2017 / 2018 corn crop declined slightly in recent weeks to 82.1 million tons (MMT) which reflects a decrease of 16% compared to last year’s production of approx. 99 MMT. Brazil’s corn exporters continue to be well-positioned to take advantage of Trump’s trade disputes with key trading partners.  

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Corn from Brazil. MOQ: 12,500 MT. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Rice

We offer a wide range of rices from Thailand and Cambodia including Gaba Jasmine, Thai Fragrant, Thai Hommali, Thai Black, Thai White, Thai Red and Thai Parboiled Rices. MOQ: 10 x 20’ FCLs.

Other Products

We work with a number of other products so please reach out if you have an inquiry for something you do not see here. We are experts in sourcing bulk food ingredients and welcome the opportunity to work with you on your inquiries. Some of our other product offerings include sunflower seeds, lentils, green peas, freeze dried fruits, popcorn, dried cherries, dried apples, dried blueberries, cherry concentrate, quinoa, dried honey dates, dried cherry tomatoes, dried gojis, dried kiwis, dried strawberries, chickpeas, chia seeds, dried mulberries, almonds, macadamias, pistachios, walnuts, cashews, pine nuts, pecans, brazil nuts, pumpkin seed kernels, melon kernels, hazelnuts, dried prunes, golden raisins, sultanas, dried apricots, sweet apricot kernels, dried black currants, dried figs, dried dates, popcorns, maraschino cherries, dried tomatoes, strawberry pie filling, blueberry pie filling, cherry pie filling, dried mangoes, dried gingers, dried pineapple, and dessicated coconut.

Work With Us As a Supplier

We are always looking to grow our supplier base with companies capable of delivering continuous high quality product at large volumes. If you are interested, please reach out and introduce yourself.

We welcome your inquiries and look forward to working together to deliver you the highest quality ingredients from the world's best suppliers. We are available to our suppliers and buyers 24/7 over email, phone, or WhatsApp.

Pre-Harvest Updates

August 5, 2018

Anderson Exports is a Bulk Ingredients Sourcing Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California, Brazil and the rest of the world. Our newsletter delivers actionable market intelligence to inform our clients' purchasing decisions.

Raisins

The new crop of California raisins is developing well with improved bunch counts compared to last year and overall crop quality is looking good. At this time, we are signing up new crop contracts for earliest shipment in September and October.   

Even with expectations of a normal new crop for California raisins, we anticipate elevated prices due to the smaller carry-in and backlog of demand. Since the prior crop was so small, the carry-out from this season is probably going to be approx. 70 - 75k MT for California Natural Seedless Select raisins.

We believe this decreased carry-in figure together with the shipment backlog -- seen in the June shipments down 39% year-over-year -- will lead to tight supply and firm prices for new crop despite normal production levels.

On the demand side, there is strong appetite for California raisins from Asia, particularly in Japan. Based on monthly shipment data from the Raisin Administrative Committee (RAC), the following graphic helps illustrate the shifting export demand for California raisins.

For the first time ever, Japan imported more California raisins than all of Europe over the period of August 1st to June 30th this year. Not only did Japan surpass European imports, it did so by a vast margin: 9,315 MT or 45%. We expect this robust demand from Japan to continue. Japan’s quality specifications are some of the strictest in the world and California’s processing facilities are the most sophisticated so the two regions are well-suited. 

Over the last few years, Europe has become a less significant buyer of California raisins, opting increasingly for Turkish sultana raisins rather than California Thompsons, largely due to the price differential. Turkey’s proximity to Europe as well as improving processing capabilities are also driving the origin-shift.

The California Thompson is widely considered to be the best snacking raisin globally and will likely remain so for some time. We expect California raisin prices to remain elevated and buyers to act early to secure new crop material and welcome your inquiries for dried-on-the-vine (DOV) and tray-dried California Thompson Seedless, Selma Petes, Flames, Goldens, and others in Jumbo, Select, and Midget sizes.

Cranberries

The USDA decision on the 25% producer allotment (supply reduction) for the coming crop is long overdue at this time. They indicated the decision would be put out in Feb/March but has yet to be released. Growers need to make operating decisions with the information about the crop allotment since the implications will be severe. Availability remains tight with no prompt shipment available. Some suppliers are completely sold out of fruit and are awaiting new crop. At this time, the new crop looks okay -- doesn't appear to be the biggest crop but should be normal. Bottom line is that the USDA holds the cards on forward cranberry pricing due to the potential for the USDA to pass a 25% supply reduction for the coming crop. This decision has the potential to drive prices higher substantially. 

With the earliest shipments being offered right now for September / October, and some suppliers offering January forward shipments well over $2.00 / lb. on an ex-works basis, our recommendation if you need to cover your cranberry needs prior to 2019, is to lock in contracts at today's prices.

Walnuts

Buyer apprehension due to uncertainty over trade tariffs is causing slower new crop sales for California walnuts. Prices have come down in recent weeks for current and new crop. Walnut handlers in California are looking to reduce inventories and accelerate new crop sales so prices are coming down. The new crop is expected to be healthy with tonnage in the 680,000 MT range. Though tariff-related uncertainty may persist for some time, we do expect order activity to pick up after the Objective Walnut Estimate is released later this month. The California Agricultural Statistics Service (CASS) Objective Estimate will add some clarity on the new crop.

Howard, Hartley, Bleached Hartley, Tulare, Vina, and Serr varieties of inshell walnut will be harvested first, with Chandler quick to follow. We are currently marketing new crop inshell Jumbo and Jumbo / Large Chandler Walnuts, please let us know your requirements.

Almonds

Almond prices are declining due to the tariffs effect of weakening demand. China's tariff added a 50% tax to California almonds. Prices have come down approx 10% recently due to the bumper crop expected amid lower demand due to escalating trade tensions. As another setback for U.S. almond growers, China has closed a trading loophole that for years allowed large volumes of American almonds to be transported into the country via Vietnam without incurring import taxes. China's strict treatment of smuggling is also discouraging transshipment activity to avoid tariffs. 

Overall, we see committed shipments currently down >50% from this time last year as an early signal of prices dropping substantially in the period ahead due to the bumper crop amid eroding export demand due to tariffs.

Apricots

Turkish apricot shipments for the 2018 crop are underway and quality is good. Organic and non-organic sulfured and unsulfured Turkish apricots are available in size 3, 4 and 5 are freshly processed and packed. With production for the 2017 / 2018 harvest estimated in the 140,000 MT range, Turkey is by far the largest producer of apricots globally followed by Iran (32,000 MT) and Uzbekistan (10,000 MT). 

Brazil Sugar

Weak sugar prices continued in recent weeks as world market surpluses rose further. Earlier this year, record production from India and Thailand worsened the oversupply situation. Production in the E.U. is also growing after production quotas expired in October 2017. The E.U. faces an extremely competitive export market with global production so high and prices so low. In recent weeks, heavy rains in the Center / South Brazil slowed the sugarcane crush. Wetter weather is known to negatively impact cane quality and incentivizes ethanol production since juice quality deteriorates. 

We supply Brazil origin ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the vessel on a spot (MOQ: 50,000 MT) or forward contract basis including long-term contracts of 300,000 MT / month x 12 months. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank. 

Brazil Soy

As Trump escalates the trade war with China, Brazil and Argentinian soy farmers are seizing the opportunity to increase production. The USDA raised its 2018 / 2019 Brazilian production forecast to a record 120.5 MMT driven by higher planted soybean acreage. 

Higher freight rates in Brazil are continuing to negatively impact Brazil’s soybean industry. Due to higher inland freight costs as a result of the labor disputes, fertilizer deliveries to Brazilian soybean growers have been delayed. Some growers have reported a rise in fertilizer and pesticide costs of 20% ahead of the 2018 / 2019 crop cycle. Higher fertilize prices will weaken grower margins and may lead to lower fertilizer application rates. In turn, reduced fertilizer and pesticide application rates may depress yields in the years to come. Despite near-term challenges, global demand is growing for soybeans and Brazil is extremely well positioned to serve increasing global demand.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Soybeans from Brazil. MOQ: 50,000+ MT. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Brazil Corn

Expectations for Brazil’s safrinha corn production fell in recent weeks. Many believe the lower production figures will be reflected in lower volumes of Brazilian corn exports. Reduced production is causing prices to go higher. Estimates for Brazilian production are in the 80 MMT range. Globally, corn inventories are falling faster than expected which is also firming prices. The global stocks to uses ratio is in the 13% range which is the lowest level in recent years.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Corn from Brazil. MOQ: 50,000 MT. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Other Products

We work with a number of other products so please reach out if you have an inquiry for something you do not see here. Some of our other product offerings include sunflower seeds, lentils, green peas, freeze dried fruits, popcorn, dried cherries, dried apples, dried blueberries, cherry concentrate, quinoa, dried honey dates, dried cherry tomatoes, dried gojis, dried kiwis, dried strawberries, chickpeas, chia seeds, dried mulberries, almonds, macadamias, pistachios, walnuts, cashews, pinenuts, pecans, brazilnuts, pumpkin seed kernels, melon kernels, hazelnuts, dried prunes, golden raisins, sultanas, dried apricots, sweet apricot kernels, dried blackcurrants, dried figs, dried dates, popcorns, maraschino cherries, dried tomatoes, strawberry pie filling, blueberry pie filling, cherry pie filling, dried mangoes, dried gingers, dried pineapple, and dessicated coconut.

Work With Us As a Supplier

We are always looking to grow our supplier base with companies capable of delivering continuous high quality product at large volumes. If you are interested, please reach out and introduce yourself.

We welcome your inquiries and look forward to working together to deliver you the highest quality ingredients from the world's best suppliers. We are available to our suppliers and buyers 24/7 over email, phone, or WhatsApp.

Trade Tariffs & New Crop

July 22, 2018

Anderson Exports is a Bulk Ingredients Sourcing Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California, Brazil and the rest of the world. Our newsletter delivers actionable market intelligence to inform our clients' purchasing decisions.

Walnuts

The biggest news leading up to this year's harvest is of course the widespread sentiment of uncertainty surrounding global tariffs and the Trump Administration's trade wars. Buyers have been hesitant to book new crop walnut shipments due to the anxiety surrounding these global tariffs moving into this year’s harvest. This will be a repetitive motif this year across all of California’s agricultural products. China has been a much publicized case of retaliatory tariffs, with many other nations moving to impose similar measures in response to Trump’s hardline trade positions. Recently, India has joined the growing list of countries specifically targeting the California Agricultural industry, announcing tariffs of 120% on California walnuts.

India imported approximately 8% of California’s in-shell crop for the 2017 / 2018 year, according to data from the California Walnut Board, which will cause a meaningful impact on trade flows. Uncertain trade relations and tariffs are already causing a remarkably slow start to new crop sales. Many suppliers we work with are reporting a fraction of the forward sales seen at this time vs. in previous years. How these trade uncertainties are affecting, and how they ultimately will affect, exports in the agriculture sector in California is hard to know at this point in the season, but the evidence so far is showing there may be few winners. 

Turkey, typically California’s largest in-shell trading partner in past years, reported an 18,000 MT decrease in imports for the 2017 / 2018 vs. 2016 / 2017 crop years. Chile and China also continue to grow their output, with estimates for Chile’s production around 150,000 MT and estimates for China’s production approaching 800,000 MT.

With that said, California’s new crop for walnuts is likely to be quite large, with expectations of total crop size in the  650,000 - 680,000 MT range. The California Agricultural Statistics Service (CASS) Objective Estimate, will be released in early September. This estimate will provide further clarity for the overall crop size and average nut size for this year.

As is typical with early harvest indications, there have been a number of issues raised by walnut growers and processors of which the extent of impact remains to be seen. These include a frost during the early spring which caused some growers anxiety as they projected a much smaller crop. More recently though, a wind event in the northern growing regions caused widespread broken branches. Many growers there are now reporting that this damage is due to a much larger volume of walnuts, and larger average nut sizes weighing down their trees this summer, with some growers even reportedly discussing pre-mature pruning activity in order to mitigate further damage to their walnut orchards. Thus, what was once thought to be a new crop in jeopardy is now estimated to be an almost overly robust and healthy crop. 

The CASS Objective Estimate, which will be released in early September will be relied on by many buyers and sellers as the benchmark to determine opening prices. 

Howard, Hartley, Bleached Hartley, Tulare, Vina, and Serr varieties of inshell walnut will be harvested first, with Chandler quick to follow. We are currently marketing new crop inshell Jumbo and Jumbo / Large Chandler Walnuts, please let us know your requirements

Raisins

The latest monthly shipment figures from the Raisin Administrative Committee (RAC) showed California raisin shipments down 39% in June compared to the prior year. The damage caused by lower bunch counts and two rain events during the harvest clearly compromised California’s supply continuity for many customers. Major buyers around the world, including in the U.S., are covering with raisins from Chile or South Africa given the absence of suitable fruit from California until new crop shipments in September / October. 

Due to the short crop last year, we are seeing earlier interest from large foreign buyers looking to secure their forward needs. Since the field price paid to growers by processors has not yet been established, some packers are holding off on firm offers until around September while others are already booking forward contracts for the new crop. 

The new California raisin crop is developing well and is on-track for a normal crop, provided weather remains favorable. The latest bunch count reading from the Raisin Bargaining Association (RBA) showed bunch counts at 33, up 22% from last year. However, even if the new crop is strong, the total supply will be tight due to the record-low carry-in from the current crop. Demand for Chilean and South Africa raisins, particularly from Asia, has been strong in recent weeks amid low quality and volumes from California. We work with Goldens, Flames, and Thompson Seedless raisins from both origins. 

We expect California raisin prices to remain elevated and buyers to act early to secure new crop material and welcome your inquiries for dried-on-the-vine (DOV) and tray-dried California Thompson Seedless, Selma Petes, Flames, Goldens, and others in Jumbo, Select, and Midget sizes.

Cranberries

The market for Sweetened Dried Cranberries (SDCs) continues to be tight, with fruit shortages keeping prices elevated. Processors are fully booked in the near-term so there is still no material available for prompt shipment. We are offering forward contracts with shipment period of September and onwards.

Pistachios

Pistachio inventories in California are at their lowest levels all year as we approach the new crop harvest. As with walnuts, trade tariffs are causing some uncertainty in California’s pistachio growing regions as China purchases some USD $530+ million worth of the nuts each year. This year’s additional 15% tariff will impact California’s ability to compete with other major growing regions like Iran and Turkey. Pistachios are California’s largest nut import for China, with Almonds as a close second.

Dessicated Coconut

Post-Ramadan, most coconut processing factories in Indonesia have only now started production with more labourers reporting back for work. Factories are now fulfilling orders made just before Ramadan and have some slots still available for prompt shipments. However, the raw material supply is tighter because most raw coconuts were harvested before the Ramadan holidays. This is normally the case just after the factories reopen after Ramadan. Weak prices of Coconut Oil is keeping prices of Desiccated Coconut in check. On the demand side, with the summer holidays in Europe and the U.S., demand is soft. We feel this is a temporary situation and come end of July / August, prices will firm as demand for Christmas heats up. We are seeing most of the demand coming from the Middle East for prompt shipment. 

Brazil Sugar

Overall, supplies are plenty and prices attractive for Brazil sugar, especially as the industry recovers from freight and transportation disruptions in recent weeks. The pace of Brazil sugarcane crushing in the first two weeks of July continued at the same pace. Given the dry spell -- from July 1st - July 15th, almost no rain fell on the five main cane growing states -- some were expecting an uptick in cane crushing which never materialized, likely due to operational downtime for maintenance. 

We supply Brazil origin ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the vessel on a spot (MOQ: 50,000 MT) or forward contract basis including long-term contracts of 300,000 MT / month x 12 months. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

European Sugar

With low global prices for sugar and excess supplies, the European Union’s sugar industry continues to face competitiveness pressures. In October of 2017, production quotas and minimum beet prices were removed, opening the door for major growth for the E.U. sugar industry, albeit in a challenging environment. Beet production in the E.U. is benefiting from favorable weather conditions and improved management of irrigation. 

We supply German Beet Sugar (MOQ: 1 FCL) as well as Thai Sugar (MOQ: 10 FCLs).

Brazil Soy

Despite escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China in recent weeks, Brazil’s soy exporters have been grappling with uncertainty over freight costs and unable to fully capitalize on the opportunity to take global export share in soybeans. Estimates for freight cost increases range from +25 to 40%, but the exact increase is not yet known. Brazil had a record large crop in soybeans and the U.S. is poised for a bumper crop as well so excess supplies may keep prices soft in the weeks ahead. On the demand side, tariffs for major global importers will be in focus, as with all major agricultural commodities.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Soybeans from Brazil. MOQ: 50,000+ MT. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Brazil Corn

The safrinha corn harvest in Brazil is well under way. In the state of Mato Grosso -- Brazil’s largest safrinha corn producing state -- ~60% of the corn has been harvested compared to ~5% in Parana, the second largest producing region. The warm and dry weather is favorable for the safrinha corn harvest which is anticipated to produce ~56 million metric tons of corn, down 17% from the prior year.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Corn from Brazil. MOQ: 50,000 MT. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Work With Us As a Supplier

We are always looking to grow our supplier base with companies capable of delivering continuous high quality product at large volumes. If you are interested, please reach out and introduce yourself.

We welcome your inquiries and look forward to working together to deliver you the highest quality ingredients from the world's best suppliers. We are available to our suppliers and buyers 24/7 over email, phone, or WhatsApp.

Raisin Shipments & More

July 1, 2018

Anderson Exports is a Bulk Ingredients Sourcing Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California, Brazil and the rest of the world. Our newsletter delivers actionable market intelligence to inform our clients' purchasing decisions.

Raisins

Based on data from the Raisin Administrative Committee (RAC), shipments of California Natural Seedless Thompson raisins are down considerably compared to the prior year. From the beginning of August to the end of May, total domestic & international shipments are down 13% this year compared to last. This May alone, total shipments were down a staggering 32% compared to last May. Based on these substantially lower shipments, particularly for the recent and coming months, a backlog of demand is building. We expect the pent up demand for California raisins to impact opening prices even if the total crop size returns to a more normal level.

The new crop is looking good with bunch counts up considerably from last year. Fingers crossed for no major weather events this year. New crop shipments should begin around October. September is possible if there's an early harvest but planning on October is more reasonable. Current crop is virtually sold-out across the Central Valley of California. Given the adverse weather events and the resulting quality concerns, we're advising our clients to cover current needs with Chile at the moment and stay away from the rain-related issues with the current crop of California raisins. 

While this past year has proved to be one of the most challenging in decades for the California raisin industry, California raisins are the highest quality available in the world. Even with the damage to the crop, import shipments from some of the highest spec. countries increased year-over-year. For example, Japan's year-to-date imports of California Natural Seedless raisins are up 17% compared to the prior year period. Unprecedented weather events surely presented challenges to the California raisin industry this year. However, the California raisin industry is an exceptional and resilient one which will continue to be a world leader in quality and supply continuity in the years ahead. We are now engaging with clients for forward contracts on California raisins for upcoming crop and look forward to serving your needs.

Chilean raisin suppliers still have stocks available at relatively attractive price levels compared to their Californian counterparts and we welcome your inquiries.

Cranberries

Shortages of fruit and high prices persisted in recent weeks amid strong global demand and smaller crops from both Canada and the US. The spot market for sweetened dried cranberries (SDCs) has disappeared since suppliers have no free production slots for the next few months. Therefore, buyers are strongly advised to plan longer in advance to fill their SDC needs. We are currently offering forward contracts on SDCs and welcome your inquiries. 

Walnuts

The California Walnut Board shipment data for May showed lower shipments of In-Shell and Shelled material compared to the prior year. From the beginning of September to the end of May, shipments of California in-shell and shelled walnuts are down 25% and 6%, respectively, compared to the prior year period. Based on the severe heat during the summer months last year, walnut processors opted to shell much more material than normal so the substantial decrease in in-shell shipments is understable with this in mind. Focus now turns to the development of the new crop and total production estimates which should begin to come into view in the coming months. While California packers are comfortably sold, there are some in-shell and shelled loads available and we welcome your inquiries.

Almonds

The Objective Estimate for the new Almond crop is scheduled to be released on July 5th, which should provide further clarity on size expectations for the new crop. In recent months, there have been some concerns about frost damage to trees but with much time to pass still before the harvest, market activity has been understandably quiet. Prices remain high and supplies tight in many varieties and sizes. We anticipate the pace of new crop contract discussions to gain some traction after the Objective Estimate releases this week.

Sugar

The volume of sugarcane crushed in the last two weeks of May in Brazil’s Central / Southern regions is estimated at 32.9 million metric conts (MMT) which is down 23% from the previous two week period. The trucker strike and resulting paralysis to the transportation of sugar is primarily to blame for the drop-off. Depending on how the coming weeks progress, the industry may stage a recovery but any further labor troubles will surely be costly.
Due to the relative profitability of ethanol vs. sugar in the current environment, the proportion of cane directed to sugar production is reaching record low levels, dragging further on total sugar output available for export. For example, in Brazil’s Central / Southern regions, the share of cane destined for sugar production was approx. 34% in May, down considerably from 47% a year ago. This is the lowest share of cane directed to sugar production in over 20 years. 

To be sure, a higher share of cane would be directed to sugar production if prices were higher. However, due to large production increases from key regions, this situation of global oversupply is unlikely to subside soon. Sugar production in India has surged 60% year-on-year for the 2017 / 2018 season.

We supply Brazil origin ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the vessel on a spot (MOQ: 100,000 MT) or forward contract basis including long-term contracts of 300,000 MT / month x 12 months. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank. 

Beet Sugar

n the European Union, high temperatures and dryness weighed on yields for many crops in recent weeks but have not yet dragged on sugar beet yields. The May yield reading for European sugar beets was up approx. 2% from the 5-year average compared to European rye which is down approx. 2.5%. Sugar beet crops in the EU for the 2018 / 2019 season and beyond may experience downward yield pressure as the EU moves to ban pesticides. The pesticide protects beets from ground and air pests so sugar beet farmers will need to find alternatives. The insecticide ban is expected to decrease production by approx. 1.25 MMT in the EU for the 2018 / 2019 crop.

We supply German Beet Sugar (MOQ: 1 FCL) as well as Thai Sugar (MOQ: 10 FCLs)

Brazil Soybeans

Lingering transportation problems from the trucker strike continued to interfere with Brazil’s soybean market in recent weeks. Due to the much higher freight rates resulting from the strike resolution agreement, many buyers have been on the sidelines. These issues are disrupting the movement of soybeans to the port for export. 

The recent protest-related bottlenecks have created unexpected headwinds to Brazil’s soybean industry which is otherwise well-positioned to take market share from other key growing regions, especially the US. Elevated trade tensions between the Trump and Xi Jinping, have raised the potential for a 25% tariff on US soybeans destined for China. Unless trade tensions ease soon, the US will likely become a less important supplier of soybeans to China. In 2017, the US represented approx. 33 MMT, or just over one third, of China’s total soybean imports of 95 MMT in 2017. South America, which produces nearly 50% of global soybean output, will likely see more interest from Chinese buyers. In particular, Brazil will be well-positioned to pick-up incremental tonnage since Argentina has been hindered by adverse weather conditions. Of course, Brazil’s ability to benefit from these conditions depends critically on the efficacy of the country’s transportation networks and favorable labor relations so global buyers will be monitoring these issues closely in the weeks ahead.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Soybeans from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ MT. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Brazil Corn

Estimates for Brazil’s safrinha corn production fell considerably in recent weeks. Current estimates for the 2017 / 2018 safrinha corn production are ~55 MMT, down 19% from 68 MMT in the prior year. Planted corn acreage declined year-over-year due to low corn prices and delayed planting. Adverse weather conditions also dragged on production figures. Some Northern regions went over 40 days without rain, indicating the severity of the dryness problem. Severe storms and powerful winds also blew down corn stalks, adding further damage from adverse weather. Brazil’s total corn production is estimated at approx. 82 MMT, which is down approx. 17% from the prior year figure of 99 MMT.  

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Corn from Brazil. MOQ: 50,000 MT. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Work With Us As a Supplier

We are always looking to grow our supplier base with companies capable of delivering continuous high quality product at large volumes. If you are interested, please reach out and introduce yourself.

Introducing voyage-x.com

voyage-x.com, a digital marketplace for containerized bulk food & beverage products, is now live.

voyage-x.com is a one-stop shop for global food procurement with thousands of products spanning from bulk ingredients to consumer packaged food and beverage products.

We welcome your inquiries and look forward to working together to deliver you the highest quality ingredients from the world's best suppliers. We are available to our suppliers and buyers 24/7 over email, phone, or WhatsApp.

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Walnuts & ICUMSA 45 Sugar

June 10

Anderson Exports is a Bulk Food Sourcing Agency in California specializing in supplying quality ingredients from California, Brazil, and the rest of the world. Our newsletter delivers actionable market intelligence to inform our clients' purchasing decisions.  

Walnuts

The California walnut acreage report released last month showed that in 2017, bearing acreage rose to 335,000 acres. In terms of year-over-year change, this is the largest increase for bearing acreage on a growth percentage and acres-added basis over the last 10 years. 

Prices are softening for California material and many suppliers are reaching comfortably sold territory in several varieties and sizes. In this environment, we have seen buyers with the ability to close quickly snap up spot loads at attractive prices with suppliers looking to liquidate their last loads in particular kernel sizes. We are well-positioned in kernel and also have some in-shell Chandler available and welcome your inquiries. Though the new crop is still a ways away, we are beginning to offer new crop contracts for California walnuts.

The Chilean walnut crop this year is widely considered to be good quality. Since Chilean material opened when California prices were sky high due to heat-related damage, there has been a major price correction in the market recently. For Chilean In-shell 30MM+, we’ve seen prices come down from USD $1.91 / lb ($4.20 / kg) to $1.63 / lb. ($3.60 / kg), a decrease of 86%. Now that prices have dropped, we’re seeing buyers coming in to close big volumes for in-shell, hand-cracked, and machine-cracked Chilean material. 

Dessicated Coconut

Indonesian dessicated coconut prices declined between the 4th quarter of 2017 and the start of Ramadan. Prices were high in September/October 2017 and nearly matched prices from the Philippines, motivating Indonesian factories to sell off as much stock as possible before the start of the fasting month. Although suppliers were abundant, weak demand from the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and South America pushed prices lower. With prices at such depressed levels, many Indonesian factories are opting to cut production shifts rather than operate at full capacity which also coincides with the month of Ramadan, during which workers tend to work fewer hours anyway. We expect coconut harvesting to slow during the monsoon season in July/August, which may temporarily tighten supply availability in Indonesia.

In the Philippines, coconut factories are almost sold out for 3rd quarter 2018 shipments, besides a few odd containers available. Weak demand from Western Europe and the USA combined with the good harvest in the Philippines last year have weakened prices since the beginning of 2018. We expect the upcoming typhoon season to disrupt the harvest, though the extent of damage and effect on prices remain to be seen. Also in focus for the post-Ramadan period will be the strength of Chinese demand for raw coconuts and by-products like dessicated coconuts and coconut milk. Prices may firm rapidly if adverse weather and strong chinese demand coincide in the coming months.   

South African Pecans

South African pecan farmers benefited from favorable weather for the 2018 crop. Early nut set figures demonstrated the good health of the crop. Encouraged by high global prices, South African farmers are planting new pecan orchards at a rapid pace. The upcoming crop is expected to be another record pecan crop for the country. The South African pecan crop consists primarily of Wichita, Choctaw and Barton varieties. South Africa’s Oversized Wichita Pecans are particularly favored by Asian buyers. 

In the years ahead, we expect the South African pecan crop to be increasingly sought after by global buyers. To be sure, at present, the South African crop (~16,500 MT) is a mere fraction of other key growing regions -- namely, the United States (~125,830 MT) and Mexico (102,060 MT) -- for the 2017 / 2018 crop. Droughts also affected the crops in 2015 and 2016. With time, however, the rapid orchard plantings over recent years will start to produce. The industry will likely also invest in new processing equipment to meet strict shelled spec needs, capturing value-add currently forgone by selling primarily in-shell. 

With on-the-ground experience in South Africa’s key pecan growing regions, we are well positioned to fulfill your needs, particularly on Fancy Junior Mammoth Halves & Fancy Mammoth Halves.

Raisins

With the new crop drawing in California closer, we are beginning to offer forward contracts. Due to the rain damage during the harvest and current price levels, we would advise waiting for new crop or sourcing from Turkey or Chile. Chilean prices have softened somewhat in recent weeks and we are well-positioned to fill your needs though material will not last long. Turkish raisins are also good quality and we welcome your inquiries.

Cranberries

Prices for sweetened dried cranberries (SDCs) remained firm in recent weeks as shortages continue. With shorter crops in both the U.S. and Canada this year and handler withholdings removing further material, supplies are tight and lead-times are long. The next USDA crop withholding decision is expected in June which may compound the situation. We are currently offering contracts for shipment in August - December 2018. There is no material available for prompt shipment. Buyers with forward needs are strongly advised to plan early in advance to secure material as the spot market for prompt deliveries of SDCs is non-existent due to severe shortages of fruit. 

Truck Driver Strike Disrupts Brazil Agriculture Sector

An extended period of dry conditions in Center and Southern Brazil is dragging down estimates for sugar production in the region. Soil moisture is extremely low in some areas which creates adverse growing conditions and lower sugar cane yields. 

In protest of rapidly rising fuel prices, Brazilian truck drivers brought the transportation network of the nation to a grinding stop. Beginning on May 9th, workers took to the streets, barricading key highways and obstructing port entries. Within days, nearly every single gas station in Rio ran out of fuel and severe shortages of food and other products spread across the country. Livestock producers ran out of feed for animals and had no choice but to cull millions of animals. Dairy farmers dumped milk and supermarkets sold out of perishable foods.

In the Agriculture industry, soybean shipments to ports stopped and soybean crushing came to a halt due to the transportation gridlock. At the Port of Santos, loading plummeted to 30% of normal and at the Port of Paranaguá, over 500,000 MT of products were not moved due to the strike. In the sugar industry, the strike compromised the prompt availability of ICUMSA 45 for export.

We supply Brazil origin ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the vessel on a spot (MOQ: 100,000 MT) or forward contract basis including long-term contracts of 300,000 MT / month x 12 months. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank. 
 
We also supply German Beet Sugar (MOQ: 1 FCL) and Thai Sugar (MOQ: 10 FCLs)

Brazil Soybeans & Corn

Exporters of Brazil soybeans and Corn are hoping to resume to normal operations after the disruptive truck driver strikes. After weeks of dry weather in southern Brazil, thunderstorms hit the region and caused damage to the safrinha corn crop. In addition to the prolonged dryness and storm damage, a short period of cold temperatures recorded as the coldest of the fall season so far also impaired the development of the crop. Such adverse weather events are dragging estimates for the Brazil corn crop lower. 
 
We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Soybean and Corn from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ MT. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Rice

We also offer a wide range of rice products including: Gaba Jasmine, Thai Fragrant, Thai Hommali, Thai Black, Thai White, Thai Red, and Thai Parboiled Rices. Payment by SBLC or BG.

Work With Us As a Supplier

We are always looking to grow our supplier base with companies capable of delivering continuous high quality product at large volumes. If you are interested, please reach out and introduce yourself.

World Tour Insights

May 27

Anderson Exports is a Bulk Ingredients Sourcing Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California, Brazil and the rest of the world. 

World Tour: Thoughts and Observations

Anderson Exports is back in the United States after a 36 day trip from Los Angeles, California through Asia and Europe, visiting current customers, prospecting new business, and ending with a week alongside the INC in Seville, Spain. 

Asia's Rising Tide

There are many notable trends to discuss after visiting with our contacts from around the globe. Most obvious is the rising wave of Asian economic relevance. Not only is China growing in importance by the day for California exporters, it is also planting many new hectares of land for vine fruit, tree nuts, and other tree fruits.

An indication of China’s growing agricultural sophistication and changing consumer tastes came from a good friend of ours in Shanghai, who recently purchased land to start a vineyard in Yunnan province. Napa or French quality Chinese wine is the goal, as evidenced by the fact LVMH, the parent group of Louis Vuitton and many other luxury brands, purchased the land adjacent to our good friend’s new vineyard to start a winery of their own. This is clear evidence that the tastes and financial power of China’s middle class are real and growing. China, with 4 times as many people as the United States, needs only to become ¼ as rich as the US per capita to take the lead as the World’s largest economy. If LVMH is investing in local, vertically integrated luxury supply in rural China, you can be sure there is ample demand. We have some photos of new vines in Yunnan below:

As became increasingly clear to us throughout Asia, China is not the only economic power to take note of. One surprising statistic we learned in Manila is that the Philippines has one of the fastest growing number of Ultra-High Net Worth individuals, a number which is expected to double by 2022. With 110 million people, 10% live and work abroad, which adds up to several billion foreign dollars pouring back into the Philippines each month. Further, many US and European based customer service related call centers are being relocated to Manila, creating lots of new opportunity in real estate and good jobs for those with English as a Second Language (ESL) education.

There is no doubt that the rising middle class of China will be one of the most important economic drivers of our future business as an exporter, but we are also convinced of the economic importance of the APEC (Asian Pacific Economic Cooperation) countries as a whole.

As we are in the business of food, it is important to think in terms of people, and more people live in this relatively small area of the world than outside it. You can see the scale of this statement clearly in the image below:

More people live inside this yellow circle than outside of it. This is Anderson Exports’ primary area of focus for developing new business over the next 3 - 5 years.

Europe and INC

Our final insight we will provide from this trip is the growing competition in the UK and EU caused by discount supermarkets. Paradoxically, despite all the EU’s stringent requirements on imports for nuts and dried fruits, it seems the lowest price possible is the only purchasing requirement in these regions today.

Further, upon visiting Seville during the International Nut Congress (INC), we learned that the largest represented group at the INC this year was from Turkey. A notable change as compared to past INCs, as Turkish Sultanas and other dried fruits & nuts have become the primary source for the UK and EU as their supermarkets and importers remain in downward price competition. Further, with the realities brought by the Brexit vote, it seems citizens of the UK are tightening their belts and saving more than last year. A trend that will continue to support the importing of low-cost origins for dried fruits & nuts.

As a young company ourselves, visiting the INC we did not see much room to expand into the European markets within the next 3 - 5 years, as many cartels...ahem, buyers and suppliers, have long established relationships.

We do see massive potential to expand into these markets after this 3 - 5 year timeline though, as many of the elder Patriarchs of the industry will be retiring and handing off their businesses to their successors, who will be in need of forging their own lasting supply relationships.

The Plaza de Espana and the INC's Final Dinner

Raisins

California raisins are too expensive and not high enough quality to warrant much interest from many buyers until the new crop is available. We expect a much lower carry-out this year due to the weather damage and resulting crop shortage. Lower carry-in to the next year will make the development of the new crop especially important for the total supply picture. We expect bunch count readings in the coming month to provide some early indications.

Turkish raisins picked up market share this year due to high prices and unreliable quality out of California. Turkish origin raisins are also attractive to global buyers due to supply continuity: Turkey’s crop is large enough to ship throughout the year while Chile’s crop is not. Processing improvements, close proximity to key export markets, and lower relative prices to other origins are robust advantages for Turkey’s raisin industry.

Chilean raisin prices opened high post-harvest amid elevated prices out of California but have softened recently. Quality on body/flesh, color, taste, and sugar content is viewed as good in general this year. Chilean grapes are produced for the fresh fruit export market then producers sell remaining fruit to the wine, fresh fruit, and raisin industries. Due to these dynamics, there is a higher share of jumbo raisins (~70%) compared to medium raisins (~30%). Chilean Thompsons are selling out more quickly than Flames, particularly in the medium sizes. 

We are well-positioned to offer Turkish raisins on a spot and forward basis as well as California and Chile material and welcome your inquiries.

Cranberries

Early procurement planning is in focus as lead times lengthen and prices rise for sweetened dried cranberries (SDCs). Supply has been constrained due to shorter crops and regulatory actions while global demand appetite has been strong. At the beginning of 2018, the U.S. and Canadian crops registered year-over-year declines of 18% and 25%, respectively. The USDA approved a 15% handler withholding and may approve further supply reductions for the coming years, compounding the already tight supply for cranberries. In Taiwan and South Korea, we observed makers of breads and mixes switching out raisins in favor of cranberries due to the higher relative price of raisins. Global demand has been strong and we believe there is some substitution-driven demand due to high prices of California raisins which may subside as raisin prices ease when the new crop comes online.

Since there is no spot material available for prompt shipment, we advise our buyers to plan in advance for their forward needs since supply-side constraints are unlikely to subside soon. We are now offering contracts for shipment in August - December 2018 and expect 2018 material to be fully booked in the coming months. This pace of bookings will require buyers to act much earlier than in the past to secure forward material, particularly for 2019 shipments. Moreover, buyers with sticker shock should recall prices have been even higher than current levels in past years and that USDA crop withholding decisions expected in June may drive prices even higher for 2018 and 2019 material. 

Walnuts

The new crop in California is developing well so far. The Subjective Estimate Report should provide an early indication of the crop size. Some California packers are selling completely out of some shelled sizes. Some growers that decided to hold on to in-shell loads in the hopes of higher prices which failed to materialize are now off-loading some material into the market. We are well positioned on in-shell Chandler needs.

Brazil Sugar

International sugar prices have firmed since mid-May due to nationwide protests in Brazil against high diesel prices and other factors. Output growth in key growing regions including India, Thailand, and the EU continue to drive the global surplus in sugar. For the 2017/2018 season, India crossed 32mmt and Thailand achieved 14.6mmt, reflecting major increases over the year prior.

We offer Brazil origin ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the vessel on a spot (MOQ: 100,000mt) or forward contract basis including long-term contracts of 300,000mt / month x 12 months. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

German Beet Sugar & Thai Sugar

The European Union’s importance in the global sugar trade is increasing after production quotas and price guarantees expired in October 2017. With close proximity to key export markets, the EU is expected to become a net exporter for the first time in more than a decade. Germany’s beet sugar crop, which commands a premium over other growing regions, is also benefiting from increased planted acreage and favorable weather. 

We offer German Beet Sugar & Thai Sugar by the container (MOQ: 10 FCLs) and welcome your inquiries.  

Brazil Soybeans

Exporters of Brazil soybeans are actively monitoring the potential impact of a strike by independent Brazilian truck drivers. Despite beginning a few days ago, supply chain disruptions are already being felt in the meat sector where blockages and delays are causing unforseen costs. With approximately 30% of the 2017/2018 soybean crop awaiting shipment from Mato Grasso, exporters are keen to move this product ahead of the safrinha corn harvest which begins next month.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified soybean from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ tons. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Brazil Corn

After weeks of dry weather in southern Brazil, thunderstorms hit the region and caused damage to the safrinha corn crop. In addition to the prolonged dryness and storm damage, a short period of cold temperatures recorded as the coldest of the fall season so far also impaired the development of the crop. Such adverse weather events are dragging estimates for the Brazil corn crop lower.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified corn from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ tons. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

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Raisins & INC 2018

May 6

Anderson Exports is a Bulk Ingredients Sourcing Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California, Brazil and the rest of the world. 

Raisins

Many California raisin suppliers are completely sold out of tray dried thompson selects with only spot contracts available and only the largest packers in the industry still able to offer forward contracts on tray dried thompson selects from the current crop. Some smaller packers have DOV available as an alternative to the quality issues experienced by many customers this year for sand and grit seen in the tray-dried thompson crop. As DOV product is Dried-on-the-Vine, it has less of these sand and grit concerns due to the later harvest and the fact that this product was high up off the ground during the two rains this past harvest. This year, we recommend this DOV product as compared to the traditional thompson drying process for most packers. Only the largest packers have the capability, time, and saleable volume to recondition their tray-dried thompson product, which does in fact still produce a beautiful thompson.  

Due to the reconditioning process for the bigger packers, the lower total production volume this year, and quality concerns on non-reconditioned product, California raisin prices remain high. Many of our suppliers are now beginning to offer forward contracts for new crop shipments. 

Chilean raisin crop quality is considered to be good this year, although Chile is almost entirely sold out of their Thompson Mediums, the Select equivalent, with prices are rising as a result of the shortages seen in California.

Cranberries

The market for sweetened dried cranberries (SDC) remains tight as most suppliers are off the market and fully booked for the coming months. Adding to upward price pressure is the 25% supply reduction for the 2018 crop which has been submitted to the register for the 30 day comment period. We expect to know the decision sometime in June. 

As we are currently traveling throughout  Asia, we are seeing a curious substitution, (due mainly to the very high prices for California raisins this year) of raisins for sweetened dried cranberries in mixes and breads in both South Korea and Taiwan.

We are able to offer on a limited basis USA SDC product for the June through August period. The supply outlook for USA cranberries is expected to be constrained in the near and medium-term with a lot hanging on the ultimate decision for further volume regulation. 

Take A Break With Us in Seville

For those of you who will be attending the INC in Seville, we invite you to join us for some refreshment and stimulating discussion of the current and future market situations for raisins, cranberries, walnuts, cashews, and more. We invite you to our unique and gorgeous private rooftop.

Brazil Sugar

Raw sugar prices continued to decline in recent weeks as global oversupply continues. Strong output from Brazil, India, and the EU are key drivers of supply growth this year. Demand from China has been particularly robust. In March 2018, China imported 380,000 tons which is the largest monthly import volume since January 2017. The Indian government approved a sugarcane subsidy this week of $0.82 / mt to be paid to farmers by mills, providing relief as weak domestic sugar prices persist amid the global supply glut.

We offer Brazil origin ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the vessel on a spot (MOQ: 100,000mt) or forward contract basis including long-term contracts of 300,000mt / month x 12 months. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank. Product is SGS-inspected end-to-end at buyer’s request.

Brazil Soybeans

The 2018/2019 soybean crop in Brazil is on track to hit 115 million metric tons (mmt), making it the second largest crop on record. Firmer soybean prices are also driving record planted acreage expectations of 35.8 million hectares for the 2018/2019 crop. Global appetite for Brazil soybeans is robust and poised to grow further. Brazil soybean exports for the 2018/2019 crop are expected to exceed 67 mmt. As Chinese buyers continue to ramp imports and the U.S. decreases it’s relative competitiveness versus Brazil due to trade protectionism from the White House, we are confident in Brazil’s future as the global leader in Soybean exports.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified soybean from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ tons. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Brazil Corn

Dry weather conditions in Southern Brazil are beginning to raise the specter of damage to the safrinha corn crop. Even with good soil moisture in recent weeks, higher temperatures in the coming weeks may present adverse weather impacts to the corn crop in Brazil. Besides this weather risk, Brazil’s safrinha corn crop is developing well.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified corn from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ tons. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Anderson Exports Word Tour 2018

April 16

Anderson Exports is a Bulk Ingredients Sourcing Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California, Brazil and the rest of the world. 

World Tour 2018

The Anderson Exports team is leaving on Friday, April 20th to Beijing on a 12 city trip across several Asian & European countries. We will be visiting clients, attending several industry events, and looking to expand both our product range and our reach into what we see as the world’s most important markets in the coming decades. 

We are providing our schedule below. Please let us know if you would like to meet & discuss any potential opportunities for collaboration.

California Raisins

Other than a handful of expensive spot loads, California packers are sold out of raisins. Without saleable material, some packers are unable to fill current contracts and are advising customers to wait until new crop shipments. In order to keep raisins on their customer’s shelves, some California packers are even pulling product from Chile. Across the central valley, this year is widely considered to be unlike any other in memory. 

To help illustrate the key issues facing the industry this year and in future years, we put together this series of graphics:

Brazil Sugar

Sugar prices continued to trend lower due to the outlook of global surplus. Key producing regions are expanding production. Brazil is on-track to achieve a record sugar crop of 40.2 million metric tons (mmt) due to favorable weather, stable planted acreage and lower use of cane for ethanol. In India, the second largest global producer of sugar, subsidized prices and continues to incentivize production growth. Strong yields, higher cane recovery rates, and increased planted acreage lifted estimates for India’s sugar output to 31mmt, considerably above the initial government expectations of a crop of only 26mmt. Thailand, which benefits immensely from it’s high proximity to growing net-importers nearby, has also doubled production over the past decade. 

We expect prices to remain weak in this surplus environment and Brazil to be particularly well-positioned to pick up share in export markets.
We offer Brazil origin ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the vessel on a spot (MOQ: 100,000mt) or forward contract basis including long-term contracts of 300,000mt / month x 12 months. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank. Product is SGS-inspected end-to-end at buyer’s request. 

Brazil Soybeans

Soybean prices have remained firm due to strong global demand, drought in Argentina, and increasing freight prices. Production expectations from Brazil continued to strengthen in recent weeks as Conab increased their 2017/2018 Brazilian soybean estimate by 1.9mmt to 114.9mmt. Planted soybean acreage is estimated at 86.6mm acres, reflecting an increase of 3.5% over the prior year. Soybean yields are expected to drop a modest 2.6% compared to last year. In addition to benefiting from favorable environmental conditions, Brazil soybean exporters will also be relatively advantaged by tariffs on U.S. corn imports to China. 
We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified soybean from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ tons. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Brazil Corn

The safrinha corn crop in Brazil is developing well due to favorable soil moisture, particularly in central Brazil. Conab is now estimating the 2017/2018 Brazilian corn crop at 88.6mmt, up 1.4mmt from the March estimate. However, year-over-year declines in the full-season corn acreage and lower expected yields offset favorable growing conditions. As a result, the estimated full-season corn crop is 25.6mmt, representing a decline of 16% compared to the prior year.  

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified corn from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ tons. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Crab Cakes

Our crab cakes are premium Maryland-style made with real Maryland crabmeat. The classic crab cake is precooked and has a 21-day shelf life when thawed. Our classic crab cakes are ideal for price-conscious customers seeking quality quick-to-prepare meals. The classic cake can be ordered in 4 packages: 80 ct bulk, which is great for full service seafood operations, and 2, 6, and 12 packs, which are available for frozen food sections.
Lobster, Salmon, and Crawfish Cakes

We also offer lobster, salmon, and crawfish cakes. Maine Lobster is the #1 ingredient in the lobster cake, while Alaskan salmon is the #1 ingredient in the salmon cake. The cakes are precooked so your customer needs only to heat and eat.

Hand-Scooped Crab Cakes

We are pleased to offer 100% real Maryland Crabmeat, Maine Lobster, Shrimp, and Wild Salmon. All processing occurs in the USA with strong food safety oversight.

Crab Stuffing

Our premium stuffing creates unique, high-quality items such as stuffed salmon or flounder, and crab-stuffed appetizers like crab-stuffed Portobello caps. The stuffing also can be used to create your own homemade crab cakes.

Canned Tuna

We are well-positioned to offer canned skipjack tuna in 170 gram cans in 53’ FCL (30 pallets) or 20’ FCL (11 pallets) on a CIF basis.

Shrimp

We also offer frozen shrimp of the highest quality and welcome your inquiries.

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Cranberries & Raisin Update

April 3, 2018

Anderson Exports is a Dried Fruit & Nut Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California and the rest of the world.

Sweetened Dried Cranberry Update

With a small crop here in the US, rising demand, and a pending industry volume regulation, we are seeing higher prices and escalating shortages for sliced sweetened dried cranberries (SDCs). As suppliers work to align production and sales, lead-times are increasing substantially. One processor turned away 85 full loads last week. Today, the industry is fully committed through June and nearly every single supplier is off the market. We have seen offers as high as $2.25 / lb., though it is unclear if any business is sticking at this price.

These conditions are expected to intensify in the future, causing prices to rise over the near-term. We also see further upside in prices over the long-term due to the proposed volume regulation for SDCs. We expect the 5% reduction on this year’s crop to pass. We also expect the volume regulation next year to pass, although we believe the percentage reduction to be lowered from 25% to the 15-20% range.

Due to these factors, the availability of material problem will worsen over the coming months. We have never seen such few offers in the market. Buyers with sticker shock should recall that just a few years ago, the price of SDCs was over $2.00 / lb. We see plenty of runway for SDC prices to go higher and/or remain strong. We strongly recommend forward booking sooner rather than later as we see prices only going higher from here and availability becoming even more problematic.

California Raisin Update

Many California packers are completely sold out of Traditional Thompson Selects. The shortages are due to the environmental damage from the 2 rains experienced during this past Fall’s harvest. The severity of the damage is so bad that for California processors are seeing some 30% of all Field Run Product is being rejected at the door, i.e. the USDA is outright rejecting 30+% of the product coming into our processors from the field due to quality concerns.

This means that many suppliers and processors actually have very little to almost no saleable quality traditional thompsons due to such a large portion of the crop being damaged by these rains. From this damaged crop, processors will try to recondition as much as they can, but this process can take up to 2-3 times as long as traditional processing and almost always produces a lower quality raisin product.

We have sold loads from this years crop from all of our suppliers. All have had mixed results due to this fall's rains. We have had customers reporting rot concerns from high moisture levels in the reconditioned product on medium and jumbo Flames, but not on traditional selects. That said though, we have had customers report that traditional selects, if they do not have rot issues from reconditioning or were not reconditioned, have far more sand and grit than on average.

We have been recommending all season our customers go with DOV this year as we believe those raisins dried on the vine will have escaped the sand, grit, and possible rot issues we are seeing across the industry in California on traditional thompson raisins caused by the two rains that fell during the traditional thompson ground drying process.

We have seen many large buyers switch much of their traditional thompson orders to DOV this year.

It can be hard for our overseas customers to appreciate the damage that has been done to this crop this year in California, but regardless of how our buyer's feel, raisins still come from nature and nature determines what we can produce and export and what we can't. So, moving forward, we have a few solutions and thoughts.

California Raisins Thoughts

We have been switching raisins from traditional thompsons, to DOV, which as discussed above, many of our largest customers have already done without issue.

We know there are some traditional thompsons still available on the market. We also know that several large customers how have been looking to book large forward contracts have had trouble receiving offers for contracts this size. The most we have been offered for Thompson Selects is hand to mouth, at best. Those who are offering, we are afraid will run into the same issues we have faced so far this year in regards to Rot, Sand, and Grit.

Of course, we do not want to have these discussions with our customers at any point, but as we have laid out above, this year is an exceptionally difficult one due to the weather issues and resulting damage. We look forward to working together to find the best possible solution for you and your customers moving forward. We will do whatever we can to ensure we deliver QUALITY product only.

Walnut Update

California Kernel pricing has generally softened over the last few weeks. With most inshell orders for the year shipped, Kernel production is in high gear. We are seeing good quality nuts from the Linden area and the northern growing regions in California. Due to the large number of 100+ degree F weather this past summer (39 days of 100+ temps) we are seeing much more kernel being cracked on average than previous years as suppliers look to the cracking process (laser sorting etc) to ensure delivery of quality shelled product. We are well-positioned to offer on kernel and welcome your inquiries.

Upcoming Visits to Asia

Also, something to think about in the coming months. Erik and I are planning to make a trip to Asia to visit our clients and to expand our reach in the region. We will be discussing this year and next year moving forward with our buyers as we look to maintain and grow our relationships through one of the most difficult years for California Raisins in recent memory.

Our trip will travel through Beijing, Shanghai, Taipei, Seoul, Bangkok, Manila, Singapore, and London. We are shooting for end of April or May. Please let us know if you have any interest in meeting.

Brazil Sugar

Global sugar prices softened in recent weeks on abundant supply. Brazil’s bumper crop is adding to the global surplus in sugar. Brazil is poised to achieve a record sugar crop of 40.2mm tons due to favorable weather, stable planted acreage and lower use of cane for ethanol. Exports are expected to exceed 29.6mm tons, up 1.1mm tons from last year.

We offer ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the vessel on a spot (MOQ: 100,000mt) or forward contract basis including long-term contracts of 300,000mt / month x 12 months. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank. Product is SGS-inspected end-to-end at buyer’s request.

Brazil Soybeans

The Brazil soybean crop continues to progress well. Currently, approximately 65% of the soy crop is harvested. Yields are reported to be strong and weather has been favorable. We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Soybean meal from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ tons. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Rice

We also offer a wide range of rice products including: Gaba Jasmine, Thai Fragrant, Thai Hommali, Thai Black, Thai White, Thai Red, and Thai Parboiled Rices. Payment by SBLC or BG.

Crab Cakes

Our crab cakes are premium Maryland-style made with real Maryland crabmeat. The classic crab cake is precooked and has a 21-day shelf life when thawed. Our classic crab cakes are ideal for price-conscious customers seeking quality quick-to-prepare meals. The classic cake can be ordered in 4 packages: 80 ct bulk, which is great for full service seafood operations, and 2, 6, and 12 packs, which are available for frozen food sections.

Lobster, Salmon, and Crawfish Cakes

We also offer lobster, salmon, and crawfish cakes. Maine Lobster is the #1 ingredient in the lobster cake, while Alaskan salmon is the #1 ingredient in the salmon cake. The cakes are precooked so your customer needs only to heat and eat.

Hand-Scooped Crab Cakes

We are pleased to offer 100% real Maryland Crabmeat, Maine Lobster, Shrimp, and Wild Salmon. All processing occurs in the USA with strong food safety oversight.

Crab Stuffing

Our premium stuffing creates unique, high-quality items such as stuffed salmon or flounder, and crab-stuffed appetizers like crab-stuffed Portobello caps. The stuffing also can be used to create your own homemade crab cakes.

Canned Tuna

We are well-positioned to offer canned skipjack tuna in 170 gram cans in 53’ FCL (30 pallets) or 20’ FCL (11 pallets) on a CIF basis.

Shrimp

We also offer frozen shrimp of the highest quality and welcome your inquiries.

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California Raisin Update

March 29, 2018

Anderson Exports is a Dried Fruit & Nut Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California and the rest of the world.

Raisins

The total available supply of California raisins is expected to be approx. 68,000 MT lower than the year prior, reflecting a percentage decrease of 18% and a tonnage decrease greater than the total of Chile or South Africa’s entire annual production capacities. Through the end of February, 56% of the California crop has been shipped compared to 52% last year based on RAC Raisin Shipment Data ending February 2018. Domestic buyers have already contracted much of the remaining tonnage making the amount of material available for export this year even lower. The shortages of fruit in the Central Valley of California are now severe. Some processors are completely sold out of raisins while others are no longer offering high volume forward contract business.

This has led to some of the highest prices seen in some time. Over the past year, we have seen California’s raisin market make an acute shift from low to high, ultimately due to this unanticipated shortage. We believe the basis for the 9% reduction in shipments vs last year is likely two-fold. As the market runs the price up, it is likely that grower’s are reluctant to sell too much material too early in order to benefit from the rising prices by holding inventory of the market. At the same time, we believe this rising market is also causing buyer apprehension when considering their purchasing decisions.

Many buyers have hesitated to jump in at these high prices, hoping for some relief, but have found none. Many buyers are buying hand to mouth as suppliers are no longer offering large forward contracts. It is unlikely prices will come down in the near term either, since there is still material left to move with a relatively constant pent up domestic and global demand keeping upward pressure on the market. See the chart below for California Thompson Selects pricing history.

This will create an interesting dynamic in the California Raisin industry for many years to come. Each year we are seeing more raisin vine pull-outs as grower’s look to cash in on the almond bonanza of the last few years. We think this creates a very valuable and unique future position for California’s raisin growers and producers. In the future, as the price of almonds has steadied and more planted almond acreage begins to bear, we may see an inflection point at which it may be more valuable to own raisin vines than almond trees.

To many in the industry, this was unthinkable last year. As we look at California’s forward outlook though, we project that this day may not be too far off. If you look at average vine pull-outs each year and control for this single reduction in production capacity, we see that California’s raisin industry may have 64% of their total supply shipped by the end of February, 2019. As demand remains strong domestically and across the globe, it is hard to imagine Thompson Seedless prices coming down this season, or even next.

Due to this high likelihood of steadily increasing prices, many packers are not offering large forward contracts. We advise buyers of California-origin raisins with unfilled forward needs to cover sooner rather than later. If you have a need, Anderson Exports can offer both long-term and near-term contracts depending on your required volume and shipment period.

Cranberries

With a small crop here in the US and rising demand, we are seeing higher prices and escalating shortages for sliced sweetened dried cranberries (SDCs). Lead-times over the last few weeks have increased substantially. Today, the industry is fully committed through June and nearly every single supplier is off the market. These conditions are expected to intensify in the future, causing prices to rise over the near-term. We also see further upside in prices over the long-term due to the proposed volume regulation for SDCs. Due to these factors, the availability of material problem will worsen over the coming months.

We strongly recommend forward booking sooner rather than later as we see prices only going higher from here and availability becoming even more problematic. We have never seen such few offers in the market.

Prunes

The outlook for the South American prune crop is good. Total tonnage expectations are around 70,000 and 35,000 tons for Chile and Argentina, respectively. In the next crop, medium sizes from 40/50 to 50/60 are expected to gain share vs. large / jumbo sizes. We are well positioned to offer on Chilean and California organic and non-organic prunes and welcome your inquiries.

Brazil Sugar

Brazil is poised to achieve a record sugar crop of 40.2mm tons due to favorable weather, stable planted acreage and lower use of cane for ethanol. Exports are expected to exceed 29.6mm tons, up 1.1mm tons from last year. So far in 2018, global prices have softened slightly.

We offer ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the vessel on a spot (MOQ: 100,000mt) or forward contract basis including long-term contracts of 300,000mt / month x 12 months. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank. Product is SGS-inspected end-to-end at buyer’s request.

Soybeans

Favorable soil moisture and strong yields are strengthening the Brazil soybean crop. Production estimates for the current crop rose slightly in recent weeks to ~113mm tons, just below the 114mm tons produced last year. Brazilian exports this year may exceed 70.5mm tons, marking a new record. Planted soybean acreage remained stable year-over-year at 86.5 million acres. Yields declined ~4% compared to last year. The current Brazil soybean crop is ~45% harvested.

In Argentina, severe hot and dry conditions dragged estimates lower in recent weeks. Production estimates for Argentine soybean production were revised down by ~7mm tons to 47mm tons. With 35% of Argentine soybeans filing pods currently, adverse weather in the near-term may further impair the crop.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Soybean meal from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ tons. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Brazil Corn

With the safrinha corn crop in Brazil now ~80% planted, focus turns to weather conditions over the coming months. Planted acreage for the Brazil safrinha corn crop is down ~6% from last year so favorable weather and yields will be essential. We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Corn meal from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ tons. Product is SGS inspected end-to-end at buyer’s request. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Partnership Announcement: Henry’s Seafood

We are pleased to announce our partnership with Henry’s Seafood. The company offers premium seafood products processed in the USA. Henry’s commitment to quality and value adds depth to our seafood portfolio. All seafood products are offered on a bulk (MOQ: 1 x 20' FCL) branded or private label basis.

Crab Cakes

Our crab cakes are premium Maryland-style made with real Maryland crabmeat. The classic crab cake is precooked and has a 21-day shelf life when thawed. Our classic crab cakes are ideal for price-conscious customers seeking quality quick to- prepare meals. The classic cake can be ordered in 4 packages: 80 ct bulk, which is great for full service seafood operations, and 2, 6, and 12 packs, which are available for frozen food sections.

Lobster, Salmon, and Crawfish Cakes

We also offer lobster, salmon, and crawfish cakes. Maine Lobster is the #1 ingredient in the lobster cake, while Alaskan salmon is the #1 ingredient in the salmon cake. The cakes are precooked so your customer needs only to heat and eat.

Hand-Scooped Crab Cakes

We are pleased to offer 100% real Maryland Crabmeat, Maine Lobster, Shrimp, and Wild Salmon. All processing occurs in the USA with strong food safety oversight.

Crab Stuffing

Our premium stuffing creates unique, high-quality items such as stuffed salmon or flounder, and crab-stuffed appetizers like crab-stuffed Portobello caps. The stuffing also can be used to create your own homemade crab cakes.

Canned Tuna

We are well-positioned to offer canned skipjack tuna in 170 gram cans in 53’ FCL (30 pallets) or 20’ FCL (11 pallets) on a CIF basis.

Other Seafood

We also supply frozen Mackerel, Tilapia, Tuna, Squid, White and Red Reef Cod, Long Tail Tuna, Sail Fish, Mahi Mahi, Catfish, Shrimp and Prawns, Deep Sea Lobsters, Red & Grey Mullet, Sole, Silver Pomfrets Fishes, and Sea Cucumber.

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Brazil Sugar & More

March 12, 2018

Anderson Exports is a Dried Fruit & Nut Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California and the rest of the world.

Brazil Sugar

Brazil is poised to achieve a record sugar crop of 40.2mm tons due to favorable weather, stable planted acreage and lower use of cane for ethanol. Exports are expected to exceed 29.6mm tons, up 1.1mm tons from last year. So far in 2018, global prices have softened slightly.

We offer ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the vessel on a spot (MOQ: 100,000mt) or forward contract basis including long-term contracts of 300,000mt / month x 12 months. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank. Product is SGS-inspected end-to-end at buyer’s request.

Soybeans

Favorable soil moisture and strong yields are strengthening the Brazil soybean crop. Production estimates for the current crop rose slightly in recent weeks to ~113mm tons, just below the 114mm tons produced last year. Brazilian exports this year may exceed 70.5mm tons, marking a new record. Planted soybean acreage remained stable year-over-year at 86.5 million acres. Yields declined ~4% compared to last year. The current Brazil soybean crop is ~45% harvested.

In Argentina, severe hot and dry conditions dragged estimates lower in recent weeks. Production estimates for Argentine soybean production were revised down by ~7mm tons to 47mm tons. With 35% of Argentine soybeans filing pods currently, adverse weather in the near-term may further impair the crop.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Soybean meal from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ tons. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Brazil Corn

With the safrinha corn crop in Brazil now ~80% planted, focus turns to weather conditions over the coming months. Planted acreage for the Brazil safrinha corn crop is down ~6% from last year so favorable weather and yields will be essential.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Corn meal from Brazil. MOQ: 100,000+ tons. Product is SGS inspected end-to-end at buyer’s request. Payment by SBLC, BG, or DLC from global top 50 bank.

Raisins

The total available supply of California raisins is expected to be approx. 68,000 MT lower than the year prior, reflecting a percentage decrease of 18% and a tonnage decrease greater than the total of Chile or South Africa’s entire annual production capacities. Through the end of February, 56% of the California crop has been shipped compared to 52% last year based on RAC Raisin Shipment Data ending February 2018. Domestic buyers have already contracted much of the remaining tonnage making the amount of material available for export this year significantly lower.

This has led to some of the highest prices seen in some time. Over the past year, we have seen California’s raisin market make an acute shift from low to high, ultimately due to this unanticipated shortage. We believe the basis for the 9% reduction in shipments vs last year is likely two-fold. As the market runs the price up, it is likely that grower’s are reluctant to sell too much material too early in order to benefit from the rising prices by holding inventory of the market. At the same time, we believe this rising market is also causing buyer apprehension when considering their purchasing decisions.

Many buyers have hesitated to jump in at these high prices, hoping for some relief, but have found none. Many buyers are buying hand to mouth as suppliers are no longer offering large forward contracts. It is unlikely prices will come down in the near term either, since there is still a major portion of the crop left to move with a relatively constant pent up domestic and global demand keeping upward pressure on the market. See the chart below for California Thompson Selects pricing history.

This will create an interesting dynamic in the California Raisin industry for many years to come. Each year we are seeing more raisin vine pull-outs as grower’s look to cash in on the almond bonanza of the last few years. We think this creates a very valuable and unique future position for California’s raisin growers and producers. In the future, as the price of almonds has steadied and more planted almond acreage begins to bear, we may see an inflection point at which it may be more valuable to own raisin vines than almond trees.

To many in the industry, this was unthinkable last year. As we look at California’s forward outlook though, we project that this day may not be too far off. If you look at average vine pull-outs each year and control for this single reduction in production capacity, we see that California’s raisin industry may have 64% of their total supply shipped by the end of February, 2019. As demand remains strong domestically and across the globe, it is hard to imagine Thompson Seedless prices coming down this season, or even next.

Due to this high likelihood of steadily increasing prices, many packers are not offering large forward contracts. We advise buyers of California-origin raisins with unfilled forward needs to cover sooner rather than later. If you have a need, Anderson Exports can offer both long-term and near-term contracts depending on your required volume and shipment period.

Cranberries

The price has been steadily increasing since harvest due to low supply and lower dried cranberry availability. The soonest product is available now is for shipment in May 2018. We have seen high numbers of SDC sales lately, which added to low supply, means there isn't a lot left to sell until May/June going forward. We have seen prices much higher than last year, some offers we have seen have been over USD $1.60 / lb on an ex works basis. Not that long ago the price was $1.10 / lb.

Prunes

The outlook for the South American prune crop is good. Total tonnage expectations are around 70,000 and 35,000 tons for Chile and Argentina, respectively. In the next crop, medium sizes from 40/50 to 50/60 are expected to gain share vs. large / jumbo sizes. We are well positioned to offer on Chilean and California organic and nonorganic prunes and welcome your inquiries.

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Happy Lunar New Year

February 18, 2018

Anderson Exports is a Dried Fruit & Nut Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California and the rest of the world.

Raisins

Domestic raisin sellers are seeing one of the most complex years in a decade or more. There has been strong demand this year from Asia, even in the face of one of the lowest carry-ins in many years. Prices remained firm in recent weeks as California packers are comfortably sold or nearly sold out of new crop material. Fruit shortages and escalating field prices are motivating some packers to stop offering forward contracts altogether. Vine-pull-outs in recent years and rains during this season’s harvest caused this year’s crop to be one of the smallest in over a decade. Together with robust global demand and stocks dwindling, we continue to see the price of California raisins rising to record highs.

We are well-positioned to offer California raisin products and recommend to our clients with forward needs that they book their forward needs as early as possible while packers are are still willing to offer long-term contracts. We continue to advise our clients to opt for Dried-on-Vine (DOV) material rather than Tray-Dried Thompsonsdue to the potential for quality issues of sand and grit that some Thompsons may have experienced during this harvest.

As for the southern hemisphere, both the Chilean and South African crops are expected to produce enough to export in the range of 50,000 MT, respectively. Yields are projected to return to historical levels and area harvested remains stable in both growing regions. Should South Africa and Chile have a good harvest, with no major rains during drying, they may be able to slightly ease price pressurecreated by the aforementioned shortages in California for the second half of 2018.

Even so, prices for all origins outside of Turkey and China should be expected to be buoyed by California, meaning higher prices for raisins across the board this year.

Cranberries

Prices for Sweetened Dried Cranberries (SDCs) continued to rise slowly in recent weeks. After a long period of oversupply and low prices, a smaller than expected crop in the U.S. and Canada and ongoing legislation to limit supply continues to lift prices from their recent lows.

There is also an availability issue brewing on Whole SDCs, with some packers reporting first available material as late as July already. Thus, we expect a steady firming in prices for Whole SDC especially. Lead-times for most suppliers are 8 weeks or more for conventional Sliced SDC.

We have limited quantities of both Sliced and Whole SDC that can be provided on an extremely short timeline depending on volume and price.

Walnuts

Chile is sold-out currently. Pricing for new crop should start by mid February. California still has limited availability on major inshell walnut varietals. Due to the record number of high heat days (100+ F // 38+ C) this year, many packers are opting to shell what they would normally sell as inshell product. Packers can better control for heat related damage during the shelling/sorting process, so we expect most packers to move on to selling their shelled walnuts faster than usual this year.

Prunes

The outlook for the South American prune crop is good. Total tonnage expectationsare around 70,000 and 35,000 tons for Chile and Argentina, respectively. In the next crop, medium sizes from 40/50 to 50/60 are expected to gain share vs. large / jumbo sizes. We are well positioned to offer on Chilean and California organic and non-organic prunes and welcome your inquiries.

Saffron

We are well positioned to offer Spanish origin La Mancha Saffron. Packing: 1 kg boxes.

Brazil Sugar

Global sugar production for 2017/2018 is expected to increase by approx. 13 million metric tons (mmt) in raw value to a record of 185 mmt, exceeding prior USDA estimates. This latest production estimate represents a 20 mmt increase over the 5-year low just two years ago. Key drivers of higher production include record production in Brazil, expected recoveries in output in India and Thailand due to favorable weather, the end of production quotas in the European Union (EU), and planted acreage growth in China. Even with this substantial increase in production, consumption indicators remain strong. There have been record exports and consumption figures of 62 million and 174 million tons, respectively.

We offer ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the 12,500, 25,000 and 50,000 MT vessel. MOQ: 12,500 MT. All sugar is SGS inspected and of the highest quality. Payment by SBLC or BG.

Brazil Corn

Brazilian corn farmers will reduce planted acreage and output this year as prices have lagged. Planted acreage is expected to drop by 11% in the 2017/2018 period. Based on the shorter crop, prices are expected to rebound. Global corn prices trended upward recently on weather-related concerns from South America. We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Corn meal from Brazil. MOQ: 12,500+ tons. Product is SGS inspected end-to-end at buyer’s request. Payment by SBLC or BG.

Brazil Soybeans

Favorable climate conditions have led to upward revisions for the Brazilian soybean production. New crop production is expected to exceed 110 mmt. Exports are now estimated at 64 mmt, down slightly from 68 mmt last year. Harvested area is estimated at a record 45 million hectares, up 3 percent from last year. The new crop is expected to be strong, driven by favorable climate conditions, stable planted acreage, and slightly improved yields. In light of higher than expected production figures from Brazil, soybean futures fell in recent weeks.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Soybean meal from Brazil. MOQ: 12,500+ tons. Product is SGS inspected end-to-end at buyer’s request. Payment by SBLC or BG.

Rice

We also offer a wide range of rice products including: Gaba Jasmine, Thai Fragrant, Thai Hommali, Thai Black, Thai White, Thai Red, and Thai Parboiled Rices. Payment by SBLC or BG.

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Brazil ICUMSA 45 Sugar & California Thompson Select Raisins

February 5, 2018

Anderson Exports is a Dried Fruit & Nut Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California and the rest of the world.

Brazil Sugar

Global sugar production for 2017/2018 is expected to increase by approx. 13 million metric tons (mmt) in raw value to a record of 185 mmt, exceeding prior USDA estimates. This latest production estimate represents a 20 mmt increase over the 5-year low just two years ago. Key drivers of higher production include record production in Brazil, expected recoveries in output in India and Thailand due to favorable weather, the end of production quotas in the European Union (EU), and planted acreage growth in China. Even with this substantial increase in production, consumption indicators remain strong. There have been record exports and consumption figures of 62 million and 174 million tons, respectively.

We offer ICUMSA 45 Sugar by the 12,500, 25,000 and 50,000 MT vessel. MOQ: 12,500 MT. All sugar

Brazil Corn

Brazilian corn farmers will reduce planted acreage and output this year as prices have lagged. Planted acreage is expected to drop by 11% in the 2017/2018 period. Based on the shorter crop, prices are expected to rebound. Global corn prices trended upward recently on weather-related concerns from South America.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Corn meal from Brazil. MOQ: 12,500+ tons. Product is SGS inspected end-to-end at buyer’s request. Payment by SBLC or BG.

Brazil Soybeans

Favorable climate conditions have led to upward revisions for the Brazilian soybean production. New crop production is expected to exceed 110 mmt. Exports are now estimated at 64 mmt, down slightly from 68 mmt last year. Harvested area is estimated at a record 45 million hectares, up 3 percent from last year. The new crop is expected to be strong, driven by favorable climate conditions, stable planted acreage, and slightly improved yields. In light of higher than expected production figures from Brazil, soybean futures fell in recent weeks.

We supply GMO and Non-GMO certified Soybean meal from Brazil. MOQ: 12,500+ tons. Product is SGS inspected end-to-end at buyer’s request. Payment by SBLC or BG.

Rice

We also offer a wide range of rice products including: Gaba Jasmine, Thai Fragrant, Thai Hommali, Thai Black, Thai White, Thai Red, and Thai Parboiled Rices. Payment by SBLC or BG.

Product Spotlight - Ranchers Reserve Beef Smoked Slices

We are pleased to offer Beef Smoked Breakfast Slices (specification here and below) which are currently warehoused in New Jersey, USA. Ranchers Reserve cattle is humanely raised, 120-day grain fed, antibiotic free, and hormone free. The European Union Hereford Steer Cattle are aged 18-30 months and the product satisfies U.S. standards of Choice or Higher. The product is processed in one of the largest and state of the art slaughter plants in Europe which holds accreditations with IFC and BRC for food safety and have fully documented HACCP policies. These stringent standards ensure the highest levels of quality for our international customers.

Raisins

Domestic raisin sellers are seeing one of the most complex years in a decade or more. There has been strong demand this year from Asia, even in the face of one of the lowest carry-ins in many years. Prices remained firm in recent weeks as California packers are comfortably sold or nearly sold out of new crop material. Fruit shortages and escalating field prices are motivating some packers to stop offering forward contracts altogether. Vine-pull-outs in recent years and rains during this season’s harvest caused this year’s crop to be one of the smallest in over a decade. Together with robust global demand and stocks dwindling, we continue to see the price of California raisins rising to record highs.

We are well-positioned to offer California raisin products and recommend to our clients with forward needs that they book their forward needs as early as possible while packers are are still willing to offer long-term contracts. We continue to advise our clients to opt for Dried-on-Vine (DOV) material rather than Tray-Dried Thompsons due to the potential for quality issues of sand and grit that some Thompsons may have experienced during this harvest.

As for the southern hemisphere, both the Chilean and South African crops are expected to produce enough to export in the range of 50,000 MT, respectively. Yields are projected to return to historical levels and area harvested remains stable in both growing regions. Should South Africa and Chile have a good harvest, with no major rains during drying, they may be able to slightly ease price pressurecreated by the aforementioned shortages in California for the second half of 2018.

Even so, prices for all origins outside of Turkey and China should be expected to be buoyed by California, meaning higher prices for raisins across the board this year.

Cranberries

Prices for Sweetened Dried Cranberries (SDCs) continued to rise slowly in recent weeks. After a long period of oversupply and low prices, a smaller than expected crop in the U.S. and Canada and ongoing legislation to limit supply continues to lift prices from their recent lows.

There is also an availability issue brewing on Whole SDCs, with some packers reporting first available material as late as July already. Thus, we expect a steady firming in prices for Whole SDC especially. Lead-times for most suppliers are 8 weeks or more for conventional Sliced SDC.

We have limited quantities of both Sliced and Whole SDC that can be provided on an extremely short timeline depending on volume and price.

Walnuts

Chile is sold-out currently. Pricing for new crop should start by mid February.

California still has limited availability on major inshell walnut varietals. Due to the record number of high heat days (100+ F // 38+ C) this year, many packers are opting to shell what they would normally sell as inshell product. Packers can better control for heat related damage during the shelling/sorting process, so we expect most packers to move on to selling their shelled walnuts faster than usual this year.

Prunes

The outlook for the South American prune crop is good. Total tonnage expectations are around 70,000 and 35,000 tons for Chile and Argentina, respectively. In the next crop, medium sizes from 40/50 to 50/60 are expected to gain share vs. large / jumbo sizes. We are well positioned to offer on Chilean and California organic and non-organic prunes and welcome your inquiries.

Saffron

We are well positioned to offer Spanish origin La Mancha Saffron. Packing: 1 kg boxes. Hot Chili Pepper We also offer "Birds Eye" natural and well sun dried chili pepper. Scoville scale: 100,000 - 225,000 SHU. Packing: customer's request.

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Early Outlook 2018

January 8, 2018

Anderson Exports is a Dried Fruit & Nut Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California and the rest of the world.

Raisins

Domestic raisin sellers are seeing one of the most complex years in a decade or more. There has been strong demand this year from Asia, even in the face of one of the lowest carry-ins in many years. We have seen prices continue to climb out of California with little signs of slowing. Many packers are hesitant to offer long term contracts due to the high prices growers are continually demanding. All packers are facing similar issues this year leading to delayed shipments and very high prices. With all of that said, the quality of the fruit this year has been good, with some overseas clients opting for a DOV (Dried-on-Vine) product over the traditional Sun- Dried/Tray-Dried Thompson due to early harvest rains in California’s central valley.

If you are buying from the USA this year, expect prices to remain high with our recommendation to book whatever forward material you can at this point as those prices locked in earlier will inevitably be lower than what we expect to be the top of the market this spring/early summer. California may run out of new crop material by this summer. Even with prices now at multi-year highs, the prospects of a downward correction remain dim.

We are well-positioned to offer on a wide variety of raisins from California. Leading into the Southern Hemisphere’s harvest next month, we will begin our offerings from Chile and South African Origins.

Walnuts

We have seen some good quality walnut product coming out of California for both inshell and shelled. Inshell had a slow start due to the heat damage in large parts of California. We have Howard and Chandler Inshell still available and shelled product (80%, 20% LHP, etc.) becoming increasingly available. We look forward to working together on walnuts, whether it is natural condition inshell or vacuum packed // nitrogen pillow packed shelled product.

We expect shelled product to take center stage here in California over the coming month and more. Due to the damages from this summer and fall, we do expect there to be a good supply of shelled product this year, keeping prices stable as shipments shift from inshell to shelled. What inshell is still available will likely be priced quite a bit higher as compared to last year at this time.

Cranberries

Many suppliers are optimistic for the new year in sweetened dried cranberries. We are seeing pricing rise slightly on the news of possible volume regulations and inthe face of a much smaller crop from Canada than expected. The US supply is slightly smaller than last year as well with strong demand across Asia and Europe. Organic cranberry shipments remained on par with this time last year, although there has been a much smaller supply this year compared to last, an almost 35% smaller crop.

Many packers have a 6 - 8 week lead time on new orders and want the opportunity to confirm they will have the available volume you are looking for due to these shortages. We recommend anyone looking to cover their first half of 2018 SDC needs books sooner rather than later to take advantage of the prices now as they will continue to climb throughout 2018 in the face of this smaller crop and future potential volume regulation.

Sunflower

The U.S. sunflower harvest occurred slightly more slowly than expected. There were weather issues in some northern areas, creating disease problems. However, overall, the harvest went smoothly. The total U.S. planted acreage this year effectively sustained the industry to reach another year. The Canadian crop was even smaller than the prior year. In the Eastern bloc, production continued to rise. Prices are expected to be steady through the new year for U.S. crop.

Brazil Sugar & Grains

We offer ICUMESA 45 Sugar by the vessel. MOQ: 5,000 tons. Product is SGSinspected end-to-end at buyer's request. We also offer bulk GMO and non-GMO corn meal and soybean meal. Payment terms required: Standby Letter of Credit (SBLC) or Bank Guarantee (BG).

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Happy New Year

December 17, 2017

Anderson Exports is a Dried Fruit & Nut Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California and the rest of the world.

Raisins

Domestic buyers of U.S. raisins who are not yet covered are beginning to panic due to the decreasing level of fruit available. The current crop is the smallest in over a decade due to raisin vine pullouts in recent years, severe heat during the summer, and unexpected rains during the harvest. Shipments should fall drastically in the coming months as raisins shortages worsen. Based on feedback from packers, the industry has approx. 130,000 tons of material to sell. The industry reports shipping 25,000 tons per month. California may run out of new crop material by this summer. Even with prices now at multi-year highs, the prospects of a downward correction remain dim.

We are well-positioned to offer on a wide variety of raisins from California and South Africa and welcome your inquiries.

Walnuts

We have seen some good quality walnut product coming out of California for both in-shell and shelled. In-shell had a slow start due to the heat damage in large parts of California. Processors are wary of the extent of this damage and are trending toward producing more shelled product than usual in order to better control for the inconsistencies in-shell faces this fall. We have Howard and Chandler In-shell still available and shelled product (80%, 20% LHP, etc.) becoming increasingly available. We look forward to working together on walnuts, whether it is natural condition in-shell or vacuum packed // nitrogen pillow packed shelled product.

Cranberries

The year is ending well for cranberries in the USA as prices remain strong with good demand spread across a smaller crop than normal. We expect prices to be stable leading into the new year with demand dipping only slightly toward the end of the month due to Christmas holidays in the Western Hemisphere. January usually brings strong demand back from the Christmas dip as many pledge to eat better in the New Year. We typically see an even stronger demand into the end of January as we enter the Lunar New Year.

Happy New Year

We had a great year here in California at Anderson Exports, with our business introducing us to clients across the world. We look forward to working together in the New Year and wish you and yours the best over this holiday season.

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Canned Tuna & More

December 10, 2017

Anderson Exports is a Dried Fruit & Nut Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California and the rest of the world.

Canned Tuna

We are well-positioned to offer canned skipjack tuna in 170 gram cans in 53’ FCL (30 pallets) or 20’ FCL (11 pallets) on a CIF basis. Please allow for 2 week lead time and further 3-4 weeks for shipping.

Packing:
Buyer has choice between either Veggie Oil or Water:

• 170 gram cans (130 grams drained weight). 48 tins per carton and 1870 cartons per FCL.
• 195 gram cans, 48 tins per carton, 1800 cartons per FCL

Payment terms:
30% down, 70% to be paid against emailed copies of Docs confirmed by buyer

Other Seafoods

We also supply frozen Mackerel, Tilapia, Tuna, Squid, White and Red Reef Cod, Long Tail Tuna, Sail Fish, Mahi Mahi, Catfish, Shrimp and Prawns, Deep Sea Lobsters, Red & Grey Mullet, Sole, and Silver Pomfrets Fishes.

Please inquire for pricing. We look forward to meeting your needs in canned, frozen, and fresh seafoods. We also supply many specialty seafood items including sea cucumber and more.

We welcome your inquiries and look forward to working together to deliver you the highest quality ingredients from the world's best suppliers. Please feel free to reach out via email, phone, or Whatsapp.

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California Raisins & More

December 10, 2017

Anderson Exports is a Dried Fruit & Nut Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California and the rest of the world.

Raisins

Competition for the smallest raisin crop in over a decade is pushing prices up for both processors and downstream customers. Many growers view the negotiated RBA field price as too low and are instead opting to hold their raisins until processors pay a higher price. Raisin deliveries to handlers have totaled 117,000 tons this year, down considerably from the prior period figure of 167,000 tons. With supply expected to be well below demand this year, packers are bidding on the remaining fruit, causing prices to rise further. In order to remain profitable, packers are increasing prices for their customers and some are no longer offering long-term purchase contracts.

Even with prices now at multi-year highs, the prospects of a downward correction remain dim. There will very likely be a severe shortage of material this year. Demand far outpaces the latest estimate for the current crop of approx. 200,000 tons. Therefore, we expect prices to rise as competition for remaining tonnage intensifies further.

We strongly encourage our buyers to engage with us as early as possible in order to secure tonnage at an attractive price. Due to the rains while the crop was drying, we also strongly advise our customers to purchase dried-on-the-vine (DOV) rather than traydried raisins. We are already seeing shortages, particularly in Jumbo Goldens and Medium Flames. We are well-positioned to offer on a wide variety of raisins and welcome your inquiries.

Cranberries

The cranberry markets have had a significant shakeup this year due to the long period of low pricing in combination with oversupply. It seems this mix has taken its toll on some smaller processors causing some consolidation in the market. Add to this a smaller than anticipated crop in both the US and Canada, approximately 15% of the US crop is estimated to be too small with stunted growth due to very cool temperatures in August and September.

This is likely to tip the balance of pricing toward a higher benchmark, although a reduction in total supply may also help with the past oversupply, so we expect prices to rise, but only steadily, over time. We recommend forward booking your needs, if possible, as the current legislation for an additional conscious reduction in further total supply may lead to continual price increases for the foreseeable future.

Sliced SDC is available on a limited spot basis with most sellers requiring a 4-5 week lead time for production. Wholes have even less spot availability with orders pushed out to available for prompt shipment if you have a need. We do not have visibility on wholes until after January 1, 2018.

Walnuts

We are nearing the end of the holiday order season for in-shell walnuts as new orders are not likely to arrive by Christmas. Shipments are expected to remain strong through the new year.

As the toll from this summer’s record heat continues to be seen in the received walnut crop, processors are holding offers close to the chest. The material from California will still be good quality although with some instances of darker color due to this heat. It will likely be a good year for halves & pieces since many processors do not want to risk quality claims on in-shell if they can laser sort their shelled product.

November’s shipment report confirms this as in-shell shipments are down while shelled shipments remained stable compared to the prior period. This tells us that processors are hesitant to offer in-shell for fear of inconsistent product, while the shelled shipments tell us the quality is still good when processors can control for the inconsistencies of in-shell product (i.e. laser-sorting, photo-sorting, etc.).

That said, we have seen some good quality in-shell shipped out of the northern regions of California. There is still Jumbo Chandler, J/L Chandler and Jumbo Howard, J/L Howard available for prompt shipment from the port of Oakland, California. We look forward to accommodating your needs on in-shell and shelled (LHP) California Walnut products.

Read the November Walnut Shipment Report

Sunflower

The U.S. sunflower harvest occurred slightly more slowly than expected. There were weather issues in some Northern areas, creating disease problems. However, overall, the harvest went smoothly. The total U.S. planted acreage this year effectively sustained the industry to reach another year. The Canadian crop was even smaller than the prior year. In the Eastern bloc, production continued to rise. Prices are expected to be steady through the new year for U.S. crop.

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Harvest Update

November 26, 2017

Anderson Exports is a Dried Fruit & Nut Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California and the rest of the world.

Raisin Update

Current lead-times to production can be up to 4-5 weeks as processors continued to work through the new crop. Due to high seasonal traffic, there have been high levels of congestion and equipment delays at the port of Oakland. The harvest is proceeding relatively slowly compared to prior years due to the pace of new crop receipts. Additional conditioning has also been required to avoid sand and mold issues due to the unexpected rains while much of the new crop was drying on the ground. Given the rains this year and related quality concerns, we strongly urge our clients to purchase driedon- the-vine (DOV) material rather than tray-dried. As buyers continue to compete over the smallest raisin crop in over a decade, U.S. raisin prices are expected to remain high.

Cranberry Update

With the cranberry harvest nearly complete, the expectation of a significant down year for both the U.S. and Canada is now clear. The U.S. crop is anticipated to be down as much as 15-20% from last year while the Canadian crop is estimated to be 30-40% lower. Together, this will reduce the amount of fruit by approx. 2.5 million barrels from last year. If enacted, the USDA / Cranberry Marketing Committee limits on 2017/2018 production would also remove a further 750,000 – 850,000 barrels or approx. 10-15% of the U.S. crop.

Given the expectation of shortages this year, some suppliers are requesting buyers to share their volume needs on a quarterly basis and to confirm business at least 8 weeks in advance. Prices for SDCs rose in recent weeks and are expected to climb further in the near-term given the short crop. The pending volume regulation also adds additional upside pressure to pricing in the coming years. We encourage our clients to share volume needs for SDCs, and particularly for organic material, with us early so that we may secure tonnage at an attractive price level.

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California Harvest Update

November 7, 2017

Anderson Exports is a Dried Fruit & Nut Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California and the rest of the world.

Raisins

U.S. raisin prices have remained high in recent weeks as U.S. raisin production levels slump to an 11-year low. The trend in recent years of farmers pulling out raisins vines to plant almond trees and two rain events during the harvest were key drivers of the especially small crop. Severe heat during the summer months and smaller bunch counts provided further headwinds for the current crop. Lead times to production can be up to a few weeks due to the harvest. These conditions and strong demand seen throughout the harvest indicates U.S. raisin prices may rise throughout the new year as supply decreases.

South African raisins are now in full bloom and weather has been cooperative, with no damaging rain or hail so far. The 2018 crop is expected to be strong with early shipments beginning in February.

Cranberries

Prices have come up slightly over the summer but it is also one of the busier times of year so this is somewhat natural. We expect the possibility of the USDA / Cranberry Marketing Committee limits on 2017/2018 production to put positive pressure on pricing though we expect little price impact over the next few months. The Canadian crop is expected to be approximately 20% smaller than last year which will help lift prices in the near-term. Additionally, the U.S. crop is looking to be only slightly smaller than last year which provides further upside to prices.

Walnuts

At this point in the California walnut harvest, it has become clear that the objective estimate of a 5% decline in crop size from last year is extremely conservative. Processors believe the crop could actually be down as much as 12% due to severe sunburn and other weather related issues. Suppliers are working to meet their customers in-shell and shelled needs with a much smaller than expected crop. Many processors are hesitant to offer until all of the nuts have come in off their trees before making offers in order to ensure quality and that key customer needs are met. As a result of these developments, prices continue to firm.

Cashews

The market for cashew kernels has been quiet recently, with prices continuing to go lower. U.S. demand has been softening as some roasters have already satisfied their needs through December. European demand has also been weak. Buyers are hesitant to take substantial positions in a declining price environment. There has been some speculation that prices will continue to decline until W320 reaches $4.50 / lb. Recent prices for top packers has been in the range of $4.80 - $4.85 / lb. FOB. With cashew prices continuing to fall, we suggest waiting for the market to stabilize before booking forward contracts.

Sugar

Brazil sugar exports are expected to hit a record high as production expectations are revised further upward in spite of lower exports to China. Trade flows for Brazilian sugar continued to shift following China’s decision in May to increase its tariff on out-of-quota sugar imports from 50% to 95% from Brazil, Thailand, and Australia. As a result, exports to China fell precipitously while exports to Bangladesh and the Middle East rose. We are well-positioned to offer competitive pricing on White, Refined Cane Sugar ICUMSA 45 from Brazil and welcome your inquiries.

Click here to read the October USDA World Markets and Trade Update covering Almonds, Walnuts, and Pistachios.

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1 Million Lbs Shipped!

April 8, 2017

Anderson Exports is a Dried Fruit & Nut Agency in Northern California. We specialize in sourcing the best ingredients from California and the rest of the world.

We are proud to announce that since starting business this past December 2016, Anderson Exports has passed the 1,000,000 lbs of product shipped milestone. We look forward to growing these numbers and working with you as we expand our product offerings and global reach.

Raisins

Prices have started to move up quickly over the last few days here in California. Intel from the fields is reporting 20% lower bunch count on the vines for the 2017 crop. Add to this the quantified 7.5% pull outs of vines reported from 2016, and we are projecting a total crop size of 250,000 to 280,000 tons for the 2017 crop. In 2017 we are also already on track to sell up to 330,000 tons of material! With most large buyers in Europe having completed the majority of their purchasing from California and South Africa, the price will likely trend upwards throughout the next few weeks without any major jumps. South African suppliers are nearly sold out of their material as well.

Secondary Market Products

We also have the following items for sale and immediate shipment from various suppliers if you have a need: 
Cranberries – 54,000 lbs
Toasted Coconut Chips – 35,000 lbs
SS Chocolate Drops 2000 CT – 24,000 lbs
Pectin – roughly 30,000 lbs
Freeze Dried Strawberry/Apple Fruit Blend – 13,000 lbs
Walnuts Combo H&P – 30,000 lbs

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